American’s Number 1 Fear
Accordingly to a recent survey 74% of all Americans list running out of money in retirement as their number one fear. Yet, how to create a sustainable retirement income that assures that we live a comfortable retirement with the assurance that our funds won’t run out remains a mystery for many. Multiple uncertainties and assumptions complicate the task as investors must balance the need for growth and the need for safety.
Longer life expectancies, future inflation rates and retirement habits must be accounted for in any distribution planning. Typically investors believe that they can safely withdraw far more during retirement than is the reality. Simply put we overestimate investment returns and underestimate the effects of market downturns during our retirement years. The consequences can be devastating. While historic average returns may be a valuable stating point for modeling in the accumulation phase, distribution modeling is complicated by cash outflows. The sequence of how returns play out during the accumulation phase is largely irrelevant, but during the distribution or withdrawal phase it is critical. Downside risk management during the distribution phase is paramount to creating a long term sustainable income stream.
Today a structural shift is changing the landscape of retirement. Traditionally, Social Security and pensions provided retirees with a financial safety net. Institutions bore the cost and risk of providing lifelong retirement benefits and retirees received checks in the mail. Today the long term viability of Social Security is in question and corporate pension plans are disappearing faster than the dinosaurs did. With this two key risk have been transferred to individuals – longevity risk and investment risk.
Faced with these risks and uncertainties, investors and advisors must plan the more complicated distribution phase with care and precision. Accumulation-phase assumptions are no longer sufficient. The difference in the distribution phase is that regular portfolio withdrawals compound losses. Withdrawals taken during declining markets become unrecoverable losses and a nest egg can disappear far sooner than expected.
Fortunately, there are state-of-the-art solutions that allow the investor downside protection, growth potential, and guaranteed income that can’t be outlived. If you are concerned that your nest egg could perish before you do give us a call and we can run a complimentary analysis of your retirement income stream.